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Golden Snowball Totals for the 2010 - 2011 Snowfall Season
Updated  5/1/2011

GSB Cities This Season Normal Average
to Date
This Time Last Season Normal
 Seasons Average
All Time Season Snowfall Record
Syracuse 179.0 111.8 106.1 121.1 192.1 inches
( 1992 - 1993 )
Rochester 127.0 99.8 89.8 100.3 161.7 inches
( 1959 - 1960 )
Binghamton 117.5 80.8 81.4 81 134.0 inches
( 1995 - 1996 )
Buffalo 111.8 96.7 74.1 97 199.4 inches
( 1976 - 1977 )
Albany 87.2 62.6 45.4 62.6 112.5 inches
( 1970 - 1971 )

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Saturday, February 26, 2011

2010-11 is 10th snowiest season in Syracuse.

The latest snowstorm has pushed this season to the 10th snowiest season on record for Syracuse (157 inches), overtaking the 2002-03 season (153.2) for that spot. The current 9th place season is 1970-71, with 157.2 inches. I would imagine this season will move past that one today. Below are the top 10 snowiest seasons for Syracuse.

1. 1992-93 (192.1)
2. 2000-01 (191.9)
3. 2003-04 (181.3)
4. 1995-96 (170.9)
5. 1991-92 (166.9)
6. 1993-94 (163.8)
7. 1989-90 (162.0)
8. 1977-78 (161.2)
9. 1970-71 (157.2)
10. 2010-11 (157.0 so far)

In case you were wondering, Syracuse's least snowiest season on record was 2001-02, with 59.4 inches.

As for the other GSB cities, below are the rankings for this season, since 1951-52 (the earliest season that data was available for all 5 cities).

Albany: 19th
Binghamton: 20th
Buffalo: 31st
Rochester: 21st

All of them, especially Buffalo, have a ways to go to reach their respective top 10. But, there still is plenty of time in the season, so maybe a few more of them can get toward the top of their snow piles!

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Thursday, February 24, 2011

Point Blank Range Forecasts: Feb. 25-27, 2011

I could see some unknown green stuff where the white lawn used to be. That must mean it's time for another snow storm! I'm sure most in upstate NY region already know about the upcoming storm, for which I will be forecasting for Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse. Before I get into that, it's a look back at the last forecast.

That last forecast featured snowfall amounts for the GSB cities. Here is their totals for the 20th and 21st.

Albany: 3.1
Binghamton: 4.7
Buffalo: 2.5
Rochester: 3.1
Syracuse: 1.8

Bull's Eye: Syracuse's snowfall total is higher than the combined total of the other 4 GSB cities.
On Target: Syracuse's snowfall total is higher than any other GSB city.
Complete Miss: At least one GSB city has more snow than Syracuse.

Um...yeah. I'm just going to let that one speak for itself.

That Complete Miss along with the On Target forecast over on GSG made it a bit of a tough weekend. Once again, I have fallen below the 1.00 goal, now sitting at 0.92. There are now 4 weeks of forecasts left to reach that threshold.

To get there, I need a strong finish here, so let's start it up this weekend! As mentioned at the beginning, this focuses on the trio of Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse. The big story is the Friday storm, and for good reason. Including that into the weekend, I see the three getting at least 8 inches, with at least one possibly getting a foot.

Bull's Eye: All three get at least 8 inches, with at least one getting a foot, of snow this weekend.
On Target: All three get at least 8 inches of snow.
Complete Miss: At least one of the three gets under 8 inches of snow.

Have a great weekend, and remember to check out the forecast on Golden Snow Globe as well!

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Albany Skates Past Average Seasonal Snowfall

I'm having a hard time believing that Albany has a headline here at Golden Snowball. That doesn't happen too often but it's well deserved. They are officially past their annual/seasonal snowfall for the season with at least another month to go. Way to go Albany. I wonder if they can catch Buffalo.

Speaking of Buffalo they really need to get something going because Binghamton is right behind them on the snow hill. They are the two cities that are closest to each other right now. First place Syracuse is starting to look like a safe bet butttt....Hey, ya never know. Second place is definitely still up for grabs. I don't think Albany has much of a chance but it's a 3 way race right now between Rochester, Buffalo and Binghamton. As for the fat rats errr I mean groundhogs prediction, I'm still not buying it ;).

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Hey, Have a Super Weekend All!

Monday, February 21, 2011

Rochester Goes Over Their Total Seasonal Snowfall

Way to go Rochester. Rochester is showing just enough new snow now to put them over their seasonal snow totals. All the snow hasn't been reported for the overnight so most likely they will add to it. Still waiting on the NOAA updates to see if Albany and Binghamton hit their average snow totals. If so that will make 4 out of 5 of the cities above average for the season with the exception of Buffalo.

I feel bad for Buffalo for the fact that the snow has been all around them this season and I'm sure several places around the area got some decent snowfall. That's how it all plays out sometimes though. My guess is that Syracuse is over the 150 inch mark with the over night snow that hasn't been reported yet. The big question stays alive, can they hit the well sought after 200 inch mark this season? We'll have to wait and see :)

The National snowiest city stats have finally been updated. Rochester managed to slip into 2nd place in that contest. You can check those stats out at The Golden Snow Globe site.

Have a Fantastic Week All!

Saturday, February 19, 2011

Point Blank Range Forecasts: Feb. 20-21, 2011

I wanted to get this done yesterday, but do to some difficulties, which are explained in more detail over on Golden Snow Globe, I was unable to get it done. That is the problem with waiting for verification sometimes, but that is the nature of it when trying to show how right (or wrong) a prediction was.

Last forecast involved temperatures, a comparison between highs and lows. Below are nighttime lows on Thursday (6pm to 6am) with Wednesday's highs in parenthesis.

Albany: 37 (39)
Binghamton: 46 (41)
Buffalo: 49 (44)
Rochester: 48 (44)
Syracuse: 40 (41)

Bull's Eye: All GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
On Target: 3 or 4 GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
Complete Miss: 2 or fewer GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.

With 3 out of the 5 having warmer Thursday night lows than Wednesday highs, the forecast is On Target.

A pretty solid week for me, including the Bull's Eye on GSG, pushes my total to 10 points from 10 forecasts, a 1.00 average. That is exactly the goal set at the beginning of the season. We've reached the halfway point for the forecasts, and I'd like to have it all wrapped up at the end of March.

Now on to this forecast. As I mentioned earlier, I wanted to get it done yesterday as it was a comparison with Syracuse snowfall and the other GSB cities. I still believe the same idea will work out for Sunday and Monday.

Bull's Eye: Syracuse's snowfall total is higher than the combined total of the other 4 GSB cities.
On Target: Syracuse's snowfall total is higher than any other GSB city.
Complete Miss: At least one GSB city has more snow than Syracuse.

Have a great weekend everyone, and remember to check out the forecast over on Golden Snow Globe.

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Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Point Blank Range Forecasts: Feb. 16-17, 2011

This is the first midweek forecast of the season, and it is an effort to make up for not having one this past weekend. I will try to get another one up for this weekend as well.

Before all of that though, it is a look back at the last forecast, which involved snowfall for all GSB cities. Below are the weekend totals for each.

Albany: 0.5
Binghamton: 0.3
Buffalo: 4.1
Rochester: 3.3
Syracuse: 5.9

Bull's Eye: Albany and Binghamton combine for more snow than the other three GSB cities' combined total.
On Target: Albany and Binghamton have more snow than the other three GSB cities.
Complete Miss: Albany or Binghamton have less snow than at least one of the other GSB cities.

Warm temperatures kept Albany and Binghamton from getting the snow I expected. As a result, the forecast was a Complete Miss. Without a doubt, this is the worst forecast I've had for the GSB cities this season.

It was a tough forecast period for me as the GSG forecast only hit On Target. As a result, I'm at 7 points for 8 forecasts, which puts me at an average of .88. 12 forecasts, 6 periods worth, still remain for the season.


On to this forecast, which involves temperatures. A big warm up is expected for the region. As a result, I expect low temperatures on Thursday night to be warmer than Wednesday's high for most of the GSB cities.

Bull's Eye: All GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
On Target: 3 or 4 GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
Complete Miss: 2 or fewer GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.

Remember to check out the forecast update on Golden Snow Globe as well. Enjoy the warmer weather everyone!

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Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Excited to Move to New York Repost

I think right about now some of us are feeling a bit tired of the snow. Below is a Cute story that has been going around the internet for a couple of years now about the weather in Good Ole New York State and is one of my favorites. It makes me wonder if someone from the south of Buffalo or the north of Syracuse isn't thinking this right now. Author unknown!

Dear Diary

August 12th - Moved to our new home in New York. It is so beautiful here. The mountains are so majestic, can hardly wait to see snow covering them.

October 14th - New York is the most beautiful place on earth. The leaves are all turned colors with shades of red and orange. Went for a ride through the beautiful mountains and saw some deer. They were so graceful. Certainly they are the most wonderful animal on earth. This must be paradise. I love it here.

November 11th - Deer season will start soon. I can't imagine anyone wanting to kill such a gorgeous creature. Hope it will snow soon.

December 2nd - It snowed last night. Woke up to find everything blanketed with white snow. It looks like a postcard. We went outside and cleaned the snow off the steps and shoveled the driveway. We had a snowball fight (I won) and when the snowplow came by, we had to shovel the driveway again. What a beautiful place, I love New York.

December 12th - More snow last night. I love it. The snowplow did his trick again to the driveway. I love it here in New York.

December 19th - More snow last night. I couldn't get out of the driveway to get to work. I am exhausted from shoveling. Dumb snowplow.

December 22nd - More STUPID snow last night. I've got blisters on my hands from shoveling and I think the snowplow hides around the curve and waits until I'm done shoveling the driveway. The JERK!

December 25th - Merry Christmas. More STUPID snow! If I ever get my hands on that STUPID JERK who drives the snowplow, I swear I'll kill the driver. Don't know why they don't use more salt on the roads to melt the darn ice.

December 27th - More snow fell last night. I've been inside for three days except for shoveling out the driveway after that snowplow goes through. Can't go anywhere; car's stuck in a mountain of snow. The weatherman says to expect another 10" of snow again tonight. Do you know how many shovels full of snow 10" is?

December 28th - The darned weatherman was wrong again! We got 34" of snow this time. At this rate it won't melt before the summer. The snowplow got stuck in the road and that STUPID JERK had the nerve to come to the door and ask to borrow my shovel. After I told him I had broken six shovels already shoveling all the snow he pushed into the driveway, I broke my last one over his STUPID head!

January 4th - Finally got out of the house today. Went to the store to get some food and on the way back a darned deer ran in front of the car and I hit it. It did about $3000.00 dollars worth of damage to the car. Those beasts should be killed. Wish the hunters would have gotten them all last November.

May 3rd - Took the car to the garage in town. Would you believe the thing is rusting out from the STUPID salt they put all over the roads.

May 10th - Moved to Florida. I can't imagine why anyone in their right mind would ever live in that god forsaken state of New York.

Gotta Love New York!!!

Friday, February 4, 2011

Point Blank Range Forecasts: Feb. 5-6, 2011

This weekend's outlook is a bit of a modification on one done earlier. More details are available after the look back at the last forecast.

The January 21-23 forecast involved low temperatures for the weekend in all 5 GSB cities. Below are their coldest lows of the weekend.

Albany: -6 (11:59pm Jan 23)
Binghamton: -4 (11:59pm Jan 23)
Buffalo: -5 (10:47pm Jan 23)
Rochester: -8 (11:59pm Jan 23)
Syracuse: -5 (11:48pm Jan 23)

Bull's Eye: All five GSB cities will have low temperatures below 0 this weekend.
On Target: Three or four of the GSB cities will have low temperatures below 0 this weekend.
Complete Miss: Two or fewer of the GSB cities will have low temperatures below 0 this weekend.

All five were below 0 late Sunday, so the forecast was a Bull's Eye.

In all, it was a solid weekend as the Bull's Eye here was matched with an On Target forecast over on GSG. As a result, both site are at 1 each Bull's Eye, On Target and Complete Miss, giving me an average of 1.00 for the season.


Now onto this weekend's outlook. Snow showers seem to be in store for the southern and eastern portions of the state, so Albany and Binghamton should have more snow than the other three GSB cities this weekend.

Bull's Eye: Albany and Binghamton combine for more snow than the other three GSB cities' combined total.
On Target: Albany and Binghamton have more snow than the other three GSB cities.
Complete Miss: Albany or Binghamton have less snow than at least one of the other GSB cities.

Be sure to check out the Golden Snow Globe site for that forecast update. Have a great weekend everyone!

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Thursday, February 3, 2011

Shot In The Dark Forecasts: February 2011

It's February, so it's time for a new edition of Shot In The Dark Forecasts. This month's focus is on milestones for some cities. But before we get into that, it's a look back at January.

January's outlook was based on snowfall for Albany, Binghamton and Buffalo, compared to the start of the season. Below are the month's totals, with snowfall in the beginning of the season in parenthesis.

Albany: 34.4 (13.0)
Binghamton: 25.0 (33.2)
Buffalo: 29.8 (33.6)

Bull's Eye: Albany, Binghamton and Buffalo will at least double their current snowfall totals by month's end.
On Target: 2 of the three double their current snowfall totals.
Complete Miss: 1 or fewer double their current snowfall totals.

Albany was the only one that had more snow in January than the start, so it was a Complete Miss. If only Binghamton and Buffalo could have kept up with Albany. ;)

While this one was a Complete Miss, the GSG forecast was a Bull's Eye. As a result, my average is at 1.00, exactly the goal set at the start.

Now onto this month's outlook. Since January focused on Albany, Binghamton and Buffalo, February will be about Rochester and Syracuse. For the month, Rochester averages about 20 inches while Syracuse averages about 24. These averages would put Rochester at about 100 inches, with Syracuse at around 140. I believe Rochester will reach the 100 mark, and Syracuse could see 150, by month's end.

Bull's Eye: Rochester reaches 100, and Syracuse hits 150, by the end of the month.
On Target: Rochester reaches 100 by the end of the month.
Complete Miss: Rochester stays under 100 at the end of the month.

Be sure to check out the Golden Snow Globe site to see that edition as well. I will resume the Point Blank Range Forecasts tomorrow.

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Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Get Ready, Here Comes February

10 PM Update - All is quiet in the Syracuse area. Any guesstimates for how the cities will do?? Mine are:

Buffalo - 19
Rochester - 16
Albany - 13
Syracuse - 9
Binghamton - 5

Leave your guestimates in the comments area.

*** For DOUG - I'll get back on track and Goooo CUSE!!!!

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Snow Storm warnings are posted for something like a third of the country and New York state is included. January is finally over and if the way February is coming in is any idea of how the rest of the month will be it could be a long one.

Most of the forecasts are calling for up to 18 inches of snow in the next couple of days with most of it falling late tonight and early tomorrow. This could be a chance for one of the cities to move a little closer to Syracuse. More to come! Here is how January snowed out in the GSB cities.

Syracuse - 43.4
Albany - 34.4
Rochester - 31.7
Buffalo - 29.8
Binghamton - 25.0

Have a Great Day and Drive Carefully! See Snow - Drive Slow!