Point Blank Range Forecasts: Feb. 20-21, 2011
I wanted to get this done yesterday, but do to some difficulties, which are explained in more detail over on Golden Snow Globe, I was unable to get it done. That is the problem with waiting for verification sometimes, but that is the nature of it when trying to show how right (or wrong) a prediction was.
Last forecast involved temperatures, a comparison between highs and lows. Below are nighttime lows on Thursday (6pm to 6am) with Wednesday's highs in parenthesis.
Albany: 37 (39)
Binghamton: 46 (41)
Buffalo: 49 (44)
Rochester: 48 (44)
Syracuse: 40 (41)
Bull's Eye: All GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
On Target: 3 or 4 GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
Complete Miss: 2 or fewer GSB cities have higher Thursday night low temperatures than Wednesday highs.
With 3 out of the 5 having warmer Thursday night lows than Wednesday highs, the forecast is On Target.
A pretty solid week for me, including the Bull's Eye on GSG, pushes my total to 10 points from 10 forecasts, a 1.00 average. That is exactly the goal set at the beginning of the season. We've reached the halfway point for the forecasts, and I'd like to have it all wrapped up at the end of March.
Now on to this forecast. As I mentioned earlier, I wanted to get it done yesterday as it was a comparison with Syracuse snowfall and the other GSB cities. I still believe the same idea will work out for Sunday and Monday.
Bull's Eye: Syracuse's snowfall total is higher than the combined total of the other 4 GSB cities.
On Target: Syracuse's snowfall total is higher than any other GSB city.
Complete Miss: At least one GSB city has more snow than Syracuse.
Have a great weekend everyone, and remember to check out the forecast over on Golden Snow Globe.