Shot In The Dark Forecasts: February 2011
It's February, so it's time for a new edition of Shot In The Dark Forecasts. This month's focus is on milestones for some cities. But before we get into that, it's a look back at January.
January's outlook was based on snowfall for Albany, Binghamton and Buffalo, compared to the start of the season. Below are the month's totals, with snowfall in the beginning of the season in parenthesis.
Albany: 34.4 (13.0)
Binghamton: 25.0 (33.2)
Buffalo: 29.8 (33.6)
Bull's Eye: Albany, Binghamton and Buffalo will at least double their current snowfall totals by month's end.
On Target: 2 of the three double their current snowfall totals.
Complete Miss: 1 or fewer double their current snowfall totals.
Albany was the only one that had more snow in January than the start, so it was a Complete Miss. If only Binghamton and Buffalo could have kept up with Albany. ;)
While this one was a Complete Miss, the GSG forecast was a Bull's Eye. As a result, my average is at 1.00, exactly the goal set at the start.
Now onto this month's outlook. Since January focused on Albany, Binghamton and Buffalo, February will be about Rochester and Syracuse. For the month, Rochester averages about 20 inches while Syracuse averages about 24. These averages would put Rochester at about 100 inches, with Syracuse at around 140. I believe Rochester will reach the 100 mark, and Syracuse could see 150, by month's end.
Bull's Eye: Rochester reaches 100, and Syracuse hits 150, by the end of the month.
On Target: Rochester reaches 100 by the end of the month.
Complete Miss: Rochester stays under 100 at the end of the month.
Be sure to check out the Golden Snow Globe site to see that edition as well. I will resume the Point Blank Range Forecasts tomorrow.