Another Interesting Weekend!
Before I start, I hear a lot of people say "isn't a werid the big storms always happen leading into or on the weekends or holidays". I don't know what your stance is on that, but come Sunday into the Christmas Eve holiday the weather sure does look to get interesting.
Too many events to list together so I'll break it down...
1. Temperature Swings and Flood Threat - By midday sunday many areas will be looking at temperatures in the mid 50's to as high as 60. Could get close to record warmth with the Southerly sloping winds. The temps won't last long with a possible 30-35 degree droup in just a matter of hours by late evening. With the high temps and a possible 1/2 - 1 inch of rain during the afternoon the snowpack should quickly melt down to nothing and creeks may get close to action stages in some areas. No threats of ice jams or major long term flooding, but some do need to be monitored.
2. Severe Thunderstorms for X-Mas???? - not overally likely, but have heard some mention that ahead of the cold front their is a chance a small area of strong to severe thunderstorms could pop up with damaging straight line winds. The SPC has noted the chance but isn't giving it much attention. Just another thing to keep your eyes on Sunday.
3. High Wind Potential - escpially for the higher terrain and finger lakes region winds could be in the 45-60+ gust range. Nothing suprising with the high winds this time of year, hope your lights are anchored onto the house good!
4. LAKE EFFECT - Cold+Wind = GOOD! Buffalo is finally under the lake effect gun for the first time this season. As usual the narrow cone of uncertainty could drop anywhere over the Buffalo area. Could be just to the north, right over the metro, just to the south, who knows. Even a chance if the winds are too strong they may prevent intensification of a lake band over Buffalo, and could actually send a plume of snow as far inland as Rochester. Regardless of where the band sets up or stays the most, the whole WNY should see a fresh coat of lake effect just in time for Christmas!
So how is everyone's snowpack holding in so far?