Shot In The Dark Forecasts: March 2011
I'd like to say that the season is wrapping up, but seeing forecasts of a foot of snow on tv and online make me want to hold off on that. More on that later, but first, it's a look back at the February forecast.
That forecast involved snowfall totals for Rochester and Syracuse. Below are their seasonal totals that were recorded at the end of February.
Bull's Eye: Rochester reaches 100, and Syracuse hits 150, by the end of the month.
On Target: Rochester reaches 100 by the end of the month.
Complete Miss: Rochester stays under 100 at the end of the month.
It's a Bull's Eye with both cities reaching the respective marks.
It turned out to be a great month for me. This Bull's Eye, combined with an On Target at GSG, brings my average up to 1.25. My intention at the beginning of the season was to make March the final SITD forecast. However, I have two forecasts that I'd like to do. So, the new plan is to have this one go for the month, and in a few weeks I will post the final one. This would give me 5 forecast periods, including the one done to start the season.
On that note, it's time for the March forecast. All the GSB cities are above their averages for the entire season, with more snow on the way. In an above average season, I just can't bring myself to forecast a below average March.
Bull's Eye: All five GSB cities will have above average snowfall for March.
On Target: Three GSB cities will have above average snowfall in March.
Complete Miss: Two or less GSB cities will have above average snowfall in March.
Here are the averages for March for each city.
Remember to check out the Golden Snowball site for the SITD Forecast over there!